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<title>Policy is now in neutral zone</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/policy-is-now-in-neutral-zone/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:31:07 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[neutral]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[zone]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/policy-is-now-in-neutral-zone/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Tuesday that the monetary policy is now in a neutral zone. Nagel further stated that…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<p><span>European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Tuesday that the monetary policy is now in a neutral zone. Nagel further stated that he really hopes that tariff discussions with the United States (US) will come to a good end.</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Key quotes</span></h2>
<blockquote style="text-align: start;">
<p><span>Inflation is currently in a stable phase.</span><br /><span>But ECB cannot relax too much about rising inflation.</span><br /><span>We’re in calm waters on inflation.</span><br /><span>Policy is in neutral territory.</span><br /><span>The Euro is not exceptionally high against Dollar.</span><br /><span>I really hope tariff discussion will come to a good end.</span></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Market reaction </span></h2>
<p><span>At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading 0.07% lower on the day at 1.1780. </span></p>
<div class="post-module">
<div id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-744" data-type="faq" data-module="faq" data-config-topic="ecb" data-config-category="Forex" data-version="v1" data-content-module-translate="0">
<div class="fxs-faq-module-wrapper">
<h2 class="fxs-faq-module-title">ECB FAQs</h2>
<div class="fxs-faq-module-container">
<input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-744accordion0" checked="checked"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region.<br />
The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa.<br />
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-744accordion1"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro.<br />
QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-744accordion2"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.</p>
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<media:content url="https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/images/i/European-Central-Bank_5_Large.png" medium="image"></media:content>
</item>
<item>
<title>Central bank must stand ready to counter any deviation in CPI</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/central-bank-must-stand-ready-to-counter-any-deviation-in-cpi/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:19:47 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[bank]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Central]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[counter]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[CPI]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[deviation]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Ready]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[stand]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/central-bank-must-stand-ready-to-counter-any-deviation-in-cpi/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane said on Tuesday that the ECB must stand ready to counter any deviation in CPI. Key quotes This…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<p><span>European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane said on Tuesday that the ECB must stand ready to counter any deviation in CPI.</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Key quotes</span></h2>
<blockquote>
<p><span>This is going to be a lively 5 years.</span><br /><span>The ECB must stand ready to counter any deviation in CPI.</span><br /><span>10% tariffs are part of the ECB baseline.</span><br /><span>Looks like inflation is around the target.</span></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Market reaction </span></h2>
<p><span>At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading 0.01% lower on the day at 1.1785. </span></p>
<div class="post-module">
<div id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-175" data-type="faq" data-module="faq" data-config-topic="ecb" data-config-category="Forex" data-version="v1" data-content-module-translate="0">
<div class="fxs-faq-module-wrapper">
<h2 class="fxs-faq-module-title">ECB FAQs</h2>
<div class="fxs-faq-module-container">
<input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-175accordion0" checked="checked"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region.<br />
The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa.<br />
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-175accordion1"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro.<br />
QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-175accordion2"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.</p>
</section></div>
</p></div>
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]]></content:encoded>
<media:content url="https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/images/i/European-Central-Bank_1_Large.png" medium="image"></media:content>
</item>
<item>
<title>USD/INR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/usd-inr-monthly-forecast-july-2025-chart/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:13:48 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Chart]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Forecast]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[July]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[monthly]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[USDINR]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/usd-inr-monthly-forecast-july-2025-chart/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[The USD/INR reacted with buying in the midst of the Middle East conflict which escalated two weeks ago, but since reaching highs near the 86.9600…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div>
<p>The USD/INR reacted with buying in the midst of the Middle East conflict which escalated two weeks ago, but since reaching highs near the 86.9600 vicinity the currency pair has returned to a known lower price realm.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" bad-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/images/placeholder.svg" src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdinr-monthly-july2025-rob.webp" alt="USD/INR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)" title="USD/INR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)" class="img-responsive center LazyLoading" lazy="loading"/></p>
<p>The USD/INR appears ready to enter the month of July near values it began the month of June. If a trader somehow was not paying attention to global news and the Forex markets, they would assume everything has been calm and normal trading has been seen. However, the Middle East conflict between Iran and Israel that escalated on the 13th of June certainly caused widespread concerns, and India’s financial assets including the Indian Rupee were directedly effected.</p>
<section class="mobile-top-5-brokers">
<div class="mobile-top-5-container">
<div class="mobile-content-template">
<div id="mobile-top-5-item-template" class="broker-item"> <img decoding="async" class="dr-target" src="" alt="" title="USD/INR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart) 2"> </div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<p>The USD/INR had been trading near the 85.5300 ratio on the 12th of June, then as the war between Iran and Israel began to make news on the 13th, there was a gap higher and the 18.26000 realm was quickly hit. Financial institutions in India reacted quickly, but they also acted with an experienced hand, this because India has dealt with conflicts which have effected its marketplace through the decades. The USD/INR was simply correlating to risk adverse momentum in Forex and the currency pair touched highs as tensions in the Middle East built to within sight of 87.0000.</p>
<h2>Important Notes on Highs in the USD/INR</h2>
<p>However, while highs were quickly achieved in the USD/INR it is important to note that they did not touch realms in mid-February and March of this year. In fact the USD/INR in essence only tested highs seen in the second week of April when tariff rhetoric from the U.S White House was influencing Forex. It is also important to note the reversal lower which developed immediately upon the announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel was very strong and also correlated to the broad Forex market.</p>
<p>By Tuesday of last week the USD/INR fell below the 86.0000 level and continued to incrementally sell off. The USD/INR is now within prices it literally started the month of June. The coming deadline of July 9th regarding tariff negotiations in the U.S will affect India, and financial institutions will be looking to define the results. For the moment, the USD/INR has returned to its well-practiced realms which have seen trading the past six months – yes, with ample tests higher and lower. But this notion is important too, because it highlights the Reserve Bank of India is balancing USD/INR values carefully.</p>
<p>Day Traders and the USD/INR</p>
<p>In order to trade the USD/INR for speculators it must be done outside of India. The currency market is tightly controlled in India and this is not going to change in the near future. Traders were certainly hit by massive volatility in the middle of June, but the USD/INR did correlate to the broad Forex market.</p>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>The Reserve Bank of India which has a firm grasp on the value of the Indian Rupee will know before most others what should be expected via the tariff negotiations between the U.S and India.</li>
<li>It appears for the moment the Reserve Bank of India is relatively calm.</li>
<li>The U.S Federal Reserve seems to be in a position in which interest rates will need to be cut.</li>
<li>But traders need to remember that outside influences regarding the value of the USD/INR do not always correlate.</li>
</ul>
<h2>USD/INR Outlook for July 2025</h2>
<p>Speculative price range for USD/INR is 84.7500 to 86.1000</p>
<p>Traders of the USD/INR may want to look at charts from April and May to try and guess what could happen if U.S and India tariff negotiations have a good outcome in the second week of July. The 85.2500 mark was touched consistently in late April and throughout late May. The range of the USD/INR has the ability to move fast, but speculators need to understand compared to other major currencies the actual value changes via a percentage are far less than other major currencies.</p>
<p>Leverage is often used when speculating on the USD/INR and this is what causes large profit and big losses for Forex traders if they pursue the currency pair. The USD/INR appears to be correlating rather well to the broad Forex market in recent weeks and this will likely continue in July. The tariff negotiations between the U.S and India will certainly affect the currency pair too, and for the moment it appears institutions like the Reserve Bank of India are relatively calm.</p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">Ready to trade </span>our <span data-contrast="none" xml:lang="EN-US"><span data-ccp-charstyle="Hyperlink">monthly forecast</span></span><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">? </span>Here’s a list of some of <span data-contrast="none" xml:lang="EN-US"><span data-ccp-charstyle="Hyperlink">the top forex brokers in India</span></span><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US"> to check out</span><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-GB">.</span></p>
</div>
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]]></content:encoded>
<media:content url="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdinr-monthly-july2025-rob.webp" medium="image"></media:content>
</item>
<item>
<title>If we would have to move, it would be down</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/if-we-would-have-to-move-it-would-be-down/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:08:08 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[move]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/if-we-would-have-to-move-it-would-be-down/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Speaking on the interest rates outlook in an interview on the sidelines of the European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal,…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<p><span>Speaking on the interest rates outlook in an interview on the sidelines of the European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, on Tuesday, ECB policymaker Pierre Wunsch said that “if we would have to move, it would be down.”</span></p>
<p><span>ECB</span><span> policymaker Gediminas Šimkus noted: “I don’t know if we’ll have all the information, we need by September, but I remain open to every possibility.”</span></p>
<p><span>Simkus added: “I believe a move, if any, is more likely towards the end of the year.”</span></p>
<p><span>Meanwhile, Governing Council member Jose Luis Escriva said that a “symmetric 2% goal should remain ECB’s primary guide.”</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large" style="text-align: justify;"><b><strong>Market reaction</strong></b></h2>
<p><span>The EUR/USD pair</span><span> is trading flat near 1.1785 following these comments.</span></p>
<div class="post-module">
<div id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-665" data-type="faq" data-module="faq" data-config-topic="ecb" data-config-category="Forex" data-version="v1" data-content-module-translate="0">
<div class="fxs-faq-module-wrapper">
<h2 class="fxs-faq-module-title">ECB FAQs</h2>
<div class="fxs-faq-module-container">
<input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-665accordion0" checked="checked"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region.<br />
The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa.<br />
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-665accordion1"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro.<br />
QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-665accordion2"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.</p>
</section></div>
</p></div>
</div>
</div>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large" style="text-align: justify;"/></div>
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]]></content:encoded>
<media:content url="https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/images/i/eur-usd-004_Large.jpg" medium="image"></media:content>
</item>
<item>
<title>USD/ZAR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/usd-zar-monthly-forecast-july-2025-chart/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:01:26 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Chart]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Forecast]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[July]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[monthly]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[USDZAR]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/usd-zar-monthly-forecast-july-2025-chart/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[The USD/ZAR appears set to enter the month of July traversing within the lower elements of its mid-term range, this as it straddles a value…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div>
<p>The USD/ZAR appears set to enter the month of July traversing within the lower elements of its mid-term range, this as it straddles a value realm seen in the second week of December 2024.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" bad-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/images/placeholder.svg" src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdzar-monthly-july2025.webp" alt="USD/ZAR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)" title="USD/ZAR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart)" class="img-responsive center LazyLoading" lazy="loading"/></p>
<p>The USD/ZAR hit a high of nearly 18.15000 as recently as last Monday, but the currency pair now is trading near the 17.74750 vicinity which is a price realm which last saw sustained trading in the second week of December. Also noteworthy, the USD/ZAR touched the 17.57800 vicinity this past Thursday as financial institutions leaned into USD weakness across global Forex markets.</p>
<section class="mobile-top-5-brokers">
<div class="mobile-top-5-container">
<div class="mobile-content-template">
<div id="mobile-top-5-item-template" class="broker-item"> <img decoding="async" class="dr-target" src="" alt="" title="USD/ZAR Monthly Forecast: July 2025 (Chart) 4"> </div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<p>The high seen early last week was a direct reflection of nervousness because of the Middle East conflict and fear of escalation, but a reversal lower quickly generated upon the news of a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. The lows seen last Thursday likely developed on the notion the U.S Federal Reserve will have to consider cutting interest rates over the mid-term. The USD/ZAR has been able to sustain its lower values and appears ready to enter July insight of important support targets.</p>
<h2>South Africa and Optimistic Outlooks Considered</h2>
<p>Financial institutions have been able to correlate the USD/ZAR to the growing belief over the past few months that the USD is going to become weaker. The USD/ZAR was trading at a high of 19.9500 on the 9th of April, this as global investors worried about the impact of President Trump’s tariff actions. Since the second week of April however, it has become clear financial institutions have become acclimated to the rhetoric from the U.S White House. Positive results from tariff negotiations between the U.S and other nations have also caused nervousness regarding tariffs to lessen. This has helped USD weakness.</p>
<p>Economic data from the U.S continues to show inflation has been tame over the past few months and that growth numbers are lackluster – even weak. This has helped cement the idea the Federal Reserve will have to announce in late July that they intend on cutting interest rates. The USD/ZAR has seen traction lower and it appears the 17.70000 may become an important near-term inflection point for Forex traders. While political debate regarding South Africa’s domestic affairs continue to be heard, the coalition government still appears rather capable of working together. This has also helped sentiment which has created a bearishness in the USD/ZAR.</p>
<h2>One Month Perspective and the USD/ZAR</h2>
<p>The USD/ZAR has done a solid job technically of being correlated to the broad Forex market. The USD/ZAR is now banging up against support levels which look like targets for financial institutions. If the USD/ZAR penetrates and sustains movement below the 17.70000 level, then the 17.60000 ratio will get a lot of focus.</p>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>The ability of the USD/ZAR to go below the 17.60000 level last Thursday if a clear sign that some large players believe lower depths are ready to be explored.</li>
<li>Resistance levels around the 17.90000 may prove to be rather durable in the near-term.</li>
<li>However, impetus will be needed to perhaps sustain lower momentum.</li>
<li>The U.S has a tariff deadline regarding the 9th of July and the results will cause a reaction in Forex around this date, which will test support and resistance values.</li>
<li>Traders should be braced for volatility and price velocity to reappear in the USD/ZAR in the second week of July.</li>
</ul>
<link href="http://www.dailyforex.com/bundles/trading-view-chart.7470009b0a50198232cd.css" rel="stylesheet"/>
<h2>USD/ZAR Outlook for July 2025:</h2>
<p>Speculative price range for USD/ZAR is 17.20000 to 18.10000</p>
<p>Lower momentum in the USD/ZAR has been clear. Yes, reversals higher have been seen. But the war that was fought in the Middle East starting on the 13th of June is likely to remain relatively calm. If global politics can remain tranquil the USD will be effected by U.S Federal Reserve outlook. The tariff news on the 9th of July will get a lot of attention, but it does appear most financial institutions have become experienced at dealing with the noise surrounding tariff developments.</p>
<p>If the USD/ZAR is still within the lower elements of its price range after the 9th of July, then it is likely the currency pair can sustain lower values throughout July and potentially set the table for a test of lower ratios. Traders should not get overly ambitious in their wagers and use proper risk management. If trading were to fall below the 17.50000 level and sustain values, then a retest of prices seen in October and November of 2025 are not out of the question technically when the 17.30000 to 17.75000 range was a playground for speculators.</p>
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<title>Possibility of undershooting 2% target is quite limited</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/possibility-of-undershooting-2-target-is-quite-limited/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:54:47 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[limited]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[possibility]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[target]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[undershooting]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/possibility-of-undershooting-2-target-is-quite-limited/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Tuesday that possibility of undershooting the 2% target is quite limited. Key quotes Possibility of…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<p><span>European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Tuesday that possibility of undershooting the 2% target is quite limited.</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Key quotes</span></h2>
<blockquote>
<p><span>Possibility of undershooting the 2% target is quite limited. </span><br /><span>An additional cut is not going to help the economy improve, we need certainty.</span><br /><span>Euro at $1.17 is perfectly acceptable</span><br /><span>Even $1.20 is something we can overlook, more than that ‘complicated.’</span></p>
</blockquote>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Market reaction </span></h2>
<p><span>At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading 0.13% lower on the day at 1.1772.</span></p>
<div class="post-module">
<div id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-289" data-type="faq" data-module="faq" data-config-topic="ecb" data-config-category="Forex" data-version="v1" data-content-module-translate="0">
<div class="fxs-faq-module-wrapper">
<h2 class="fxs-faq-module-title">ECB FAQs</h2>
<div class="fxs-faq-module-container">
<input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-289accordion0" checked="checked"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region.<br />
The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa.<br />
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-289accordion1"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro.<br />
QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.</p>
</section>
<p> <input type="checkbox" id="content-module-faq-Forex-ecb-289accordion2"/></p>
<section class="fxs-faq-module-section">
<p class="fxs-faq-module-content">Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.</p>
</section></div>
</p></div>
</div>
</div></div>
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<title>EUR/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Bullish Momentum (Chart)</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/eur-usd-forex-signal-today-01-07-bullish-momentum-chart/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:48:38 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Bullish]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Chart]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[EURUSD]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Forex]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Momentum]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Signal]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Today]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/eur-usd-forex-signal-today-01-07-bullish-momentum-chart/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Bullish view Buy the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.200. Add a stop-loss at 1.1600. Timeline: 1-3 days. Bearish view Sell the EUR/USD…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div>
<h2>Bullish view</h2>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>Buy the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.200.</li>
<li>Add a stop-loss at 1.1600.</li>
<li>Timeline: 1-3 days.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Bearish view</h2>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>Sell the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.1600.</li>
<li>Add a stop-loss at 1.2000.</li>
</ul>
<p><img decoding="async" bad-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/images/placeholder.svg" src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/eurusd-july125-crispus.webp" alt="EUR/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Bullish Momentum (Chart)" title="EUR/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Bullish Momentum (Chart)" class="img-responsive center LazyLoading" lazy="loading"/></p>
<p>The EUR/USD exchange rate continued its strong surge, hitting its highest level since September 2021. It jumped to a high of 1.1770, up by 15.67% from its lowest point this year.</p>
<h2>Key Economic Data Ahead</h2>
<p>The EUR/USD pair has been in a strong rally this year as the US dollar index plunge gained steam. The index, which measures the dollar’s performance against a basket of currencies, plunged to a low of $96.95, down by nearly 12% from the year-to-date high.</p>
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<div class="mobile-content-template">
<div id="mobile-top-5-item-template" class="broker-item"> <img decoding="async" class="dr-target" src="" alt="" title="EUR/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Bullish Momentum (Chart) 6"> </div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<p>This performance is likely because some investors see the euro as a better safe-haven currency because of some of Donald Trump’s policies, like the unilateral tariffs against all countries.</p>
<p>There are also concerns about central bank independence after Trump’s attacks. The latest one is the ongoing speculation that he will seek to undermine Jerome Powell by appointing his successor months in advance.</p>
<p>The EUR/USD pair has also soared as concerns about the US debt escalated, with estimates showing that the Big Beautiful Bill will lead to a wide trade deficit. This is happening a few months after the US lost its triple-A credit rating.</p>
<p>The next key catalyst for the pair will be the upcoming consumer price index (CPI) data. Economists expect the data to show that the headline consumer inflation rose from 1.9% in May to 2% in June, while the core inflation remained unchanged at 2.3%.</p>
<p>The other key catalyst will be the US ISM manufacturing PMI data, which will provide more information about the impact of Trump’s tariffs. The US will also release the JOLTs job vacancies data and the upcoming statement from the Federal Reserve Chair.</p>
<p>Powell will likely reiterate his view that the bank will maintain a wait-and-see approach before deciding when to cut rates.</p>
<link href="http://www.dailyforex.com/bundles/trading-view-chart.7470009b0a50198232cd.css" rel="stylesheet"/>
<h2>EUR/USD Technical Analysis</h2>
<p>The weekly chart shows that the EUR/USD exchange rate has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few months. It has jumped from a low of 1.0180 in January to 1.1780 today.</p>
<p>It has recently crossed the important resistance level at 1.1568, the highest swing on April 21, invalidating a double-top pattern. Also, the pair has remained above the 50-week exponential moving averages and the 78.2% retracement point.</p>
<p>Therefore, the pair will likely continue rising as bulls target the psychological point at 1.200. A drop below the support at 1.1600 will invalidate the bullish view.</p>
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</div>
<div>
<p>Crispus Nyaga is a financial analyst, coach, and trader with more than 8 years in the industry. He has worked for leading companies like ATFX, easyMarkets, and OctaFx. Further, he has published widely in platforms like SeekingAlpha, Investing Cube, Capital.com, and Invezz. In his free time, he likes watching golf and spending time with his wife and child.</p>
</div>
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<title>Bailey speech: Labour market is softening</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/bailey-speech-labour-market-is-softening/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:42:05 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Bailey]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[labour]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Market]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[softening]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[speech]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/bailey-speech-labour-market-is-softening/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday that they have to watch very carefully for consequences of inflation, per Reuters. Key takeaways “Labour…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<p><span>Bank of England</span><span> Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday that they have to watch very carefully for consequences of inflation, per Reuters.</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Key takeaways</span></h2>
<p><span>“Labour market is softening.”</span></p>
<p><span>“Path of interest rates will continue to be gradually downwards.”</span></p>
<p><span>“We’ve seen a steepening of the long term bond yield curve.”</span></p>
<p><span>“I don’t think there’s anything unusual about the UK in terms of the yield curve.”</span></p>
<p><span>“There will be no sustained growth without stable low inflation.”</span></p>
<p><span>“I don’t believe that quantitative tightening is causing steepening of yield curve.”</span></p>
<p><span>“Yield curve steepening partly as a response to high level of uncertainty in global economy.”</span></p>
<p><span>“I don’t think investors are concerned about viability of UK debt stock.”</span></p>
<p><span>“Internationally there is an increase in uncertainty.”</span></p>
<p><span>“Increase in uncertainty is coming through in terms of economic activity and growth.”</span></p>
<p><span>“Businesses tell me they are putting off investment decisions.”</span></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large"><span>Market reaction</span></h2>
<p><span>These comments failed to trigger a noticeable reaction in GBP/USD. At the time of press, the pair was trading marginally higher on the day near 1.3750.</span></p>
</p></div>
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<title>GBP/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Rally Gains Steam (Chart)</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/gbp-usd-forex-signal-today-01-07-rally-gains-steam-chart/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:35:32 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Chart]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Forex]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[gains]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[GBPUSD]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Rally]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Signal]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[steam]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Today]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/gbp-usd-forex-signal-today-01-07-rally-gains-steam-chart/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Bullish view Buy the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.3850. Add a stop-loss at 1.3650. Timeline: 1-2 days. Bearish view Sell the GBP/USD…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div>
<h2>Bullish view</h2>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>Buy the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.3850.</li>
<li>Add a stop-loss at 1.3650.</li>
<li>Timeline: 1-2 days.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Bearish view</h2>
<ul class="dfx-list-bullets">
<li>Sell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.3650.</li>
<li>Add a stop-loss at 1.3850.</li>
</ul>
<p><img decoding="async" bad-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/images/placeholder.svg" src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/gbpusd-july125-crispus.webp" alt="GBP/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Rally Gains Steam (Chart)" title="GBP/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Rally Gains Steam (Chart)" class="img-responsive center LazyLoading" lazy="loading"/></p>
<p>The GBP/USD exchange rate rose to a crucial resistance level as the US dollar’s decline intensified. The pair jumped to 1.3720, its highest level since October 2021. It has jumped by over 13% from its lowest point this year.</p>
<h2>British Pound Surge Continues</h2>
<p>The GBP/USD pair has continued its strong rally over the past few months due to the ongoing dollar decline. The dollar index has plummeted from its year-to-date high of $110 to the current $ 96.50.</p>
<p>Analysts anticipate that the US dollar index has more downside in the coming months. In a recent note, Morgan Stanley analysts predicted that the index would ultimately plunge to $90 later this year.</p>
<section class="mobile-top-5-brokers">
<div class="mobile-top-5-container">
<div class="mobile-content-template">
<div id="mobile-top-5-item-template" class="broker-item"> <img decoding="async" class="dr-target" src="" alt="" title="GBP/USD Forex Signal Today 01/07: Rally Gains Steam (Chart) 8"> </div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<p>The GBP/USD pair rose as the market started to predict an upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cut. In a statement on Monday, Goldman Sachs analysts said that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in September as the inflationary impact of tariffs remains smaller than expected.</p>
<p>The statement mirrored that of Fed officials like Christopher Waller and Michele Bowman, who have called for a rate cut in July. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, will speak today, July 1, and possibly reiterate his view that the bank will adopt a wait-and-see approach.</p>
<p>The other notable catalyst for the GBP/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming US and UK manufacturing PMI data. Economists expect the UK manufacturing PMI rising from 46.6 in May to 47.7 in June, while the US figure rising from 48.5 to 48.8.</p>
<p>While this improvement will be good, it remains much lower than the expansion zone of 50. It is a sign that Trump’s tariffs are having an impact on corporations.</p>
<p>The pair will also react to a statement by the Bank of England’s (BoE) Andrew Bailey.</p>
<link href="http://www.dailyforex.com/bundles/trading-view-chart.7470009b0a50198232cd.css" rel="stylesheet"/>
<h2>GBP/USD Technical Analysis</h2>
<p>The daily chart shows that the GBP/USD exchange rate has been in a strong bull run. It has remained above the important support level at 1.3428, its highest swing in September last year.</p>
<p>The pair has remained above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above the neutral point.</p>
<p>It has also moved to the upper side of the ascending channel. Therefore, the pair will likely continue rising as bulls target the next key resistance level at 1.3850. The alternative scenario is where the pair drops to the key support at 1.3430.</p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">Ready to trade </span>our <span data-contrast="none" xml:lang="EN-US"><span data-ccp-charstyle="Hyperlink">daily Forex signal</span></span><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US">? Check out </span><span data-contrast="none" xml:lang="EN-US"><span data-ccp-charstyle="Hyperlink">the best forex brokers in the UK</span></span><span data-contrast="auto" xml:lang="EN-US"> worth using.</span></p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Crispus Nyaga is a financial analyst, coach, and trader with more than 8 years in the industry. He has worked for leading companies like ATFX, easyMarkets, and OctaFx. Further, he has published widely in platforms like SeekingAlpha, Investing Cube, Capital.com, and Invezz. In his free time, he likes watching golf and spending time with his wife and child.</p>
</div>
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<title>Coal India – Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]</title>
<link>https://forexdepo.com/coal-india-elliott-wave-technical-analysis-video-2/</link>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[ForexDepo Team]]></dc:creator>
<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:28:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category><![CDATA[Forex News]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Coal]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Elliott]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[technical]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
<category><![CDATA[Wave]]></category>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://forexdepo.com/coal-india-elliott-wave-technical-analysis-video-2/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Coal India Elliott Wave technical overview – Daily chart Function: Counter-Trend. Mode: Impulsive. Structure: Gray Wave C. Position: Orange Wave 4. Direction (lower degrees): Gray Wave…]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div id="fxs_article_content">
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Coal India Elliott Wave technical overview – Daily chart</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b><strong>Function: </strong>Counter-Trend.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Mode:</strong> Impulsive.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Structure:</strong> Gray Wave C.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Position: </strong>Orange Wave 4.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Direction (lower degrees): </strong>Gray Wave C (Started).</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Details: </strong>Gray Wave B appears complete, and Gray Wave C has started.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Daily chart summary</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>The Elliott Wave analysis of COAL INDIA’s daily chart presents a counter-trend situation. The price is currently moving in an impulsive pattern, indicating a strong move in the opposite direction of the main trend. The pattern is identified as Gray Wave C, which is part of a larger correction within Orange Wave 4. This suggests the stock is likely in the final phase of this correction.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Wave B to C transition</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>Gray Wave B looks completed, which has led to the development of Gray Wave C. This wave usually marks the end of a counter-trend move and typically carries momentum in the opposite direction of the primary trend. It unfolds within the broader Orange Wave 4 corrective structure.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Technical outlook</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>Currently, COAL INDIA seems to be in the final stage of a counter-trend move. With Gray Wave C active and Wave B finished, there is strong impulsive selling pressure. Traders should monitor for reversal signals, as Wave C commonly marks the end of corrective movements such as Orange Wave 4.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" alt="Chart" loading="lazy" src="https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/miscelaneous/1000450280-1751353242233.png" title="Coal India – Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video] 11"></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">COAL INDIA Elliott Wave technical overview – Weekly chart</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b><strong>Function:</strong> Counter-Trend.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Mode: </strong>Impulsive.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Structure:</strong> Gray Wave C.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Position:</strong> Orange Wave 4.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Direction (lower degrees):</strong> Gray Wave C (Started).</p>
<p dir="ltr"><strong>Details: </strong>Gray Wave B appears complete, and Gray Wave C is underway.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Weekly chart summary</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>The Elliott Wave analysis for COAL INDIA’s weekly chart outlines a counter-trend movement. The price is moving impulsively, showing strong momentum against the dominant market direction. The ongoing structure is Gray Wave C, which is part of a broader correction under Orange Wave 4. This indicates that the stock may be nearing the end of a corrective move.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Wave B to C shift</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>Gray Wave B appears to be finished, which leads into the current development of Gray Wave C. This wave often marks the final part of a corrective trend and typically carries significant momentum against the main direction. The upcoming action at lower degrees continues the Gray Wave C structure within the broader Orange Wave 4.</p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium" dir="ltr">Technical outlook</h2>
<p dir="ltr"><b><strong/></b>COAL INDIA is now in what appears to be the concluding phase of a counter-trend pattern. With Gray Wave C in motion and Wave B completed, strong impulsive selling behavior is likely. Traders should look out for signals of a possible completion, as Wave C may conclude the larger Orange Wave 4 correction.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" alt="Coal" loading="lazy" src="https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/miscelaneous/1000450281-1751353354107.png" title="Coal India – Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video] 12"></p>
<h2 class="fxs_headline_medium">Coal India – Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]</h2>
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<p><iframe title="COAL INDIA - Indian Stocks Elliott Wave Technical Analysis By Tradinglounge" width="843" height="474" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/B5Z1anYXwfw?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
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